> "If we reclaim x can we go to new ATHs?" Sure. But in my trend based system it's the lowest EV thing to bet on and we did just lose a 1,000 day uptrend.

Name & Symbol: Aethir Token ($ATH)
Address: 0xbe0ed4138121ecfc5c0e56b40517da27e6c5226b

need a 6% pump in ~24 hours to close the yearly green https://t.co/U9Spsh5hne

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

Shooting out fartcoin rotations

Name & Symbol: Fartcoin ($Fartcoin)
Address: 9BB6NFEcjBCtnNLFko2FqVQBq8HHM13kCyYcdQbgpump

Tbh I expected 9 month range so technically 2025 has exceeded my expectations already by trending for like 3 (?) days above prior ATH lmfao https://t.co/VvFqmKQwJ3

Name & Symbol: Aethir Token ($ATH)
Address: 0xbe0ed4138121ecfc5c0e56b40517da27e6c5226b

Tbh I expected 9 month range so technically 2025 has exceeded my expectations already by trending for like 3 (?) days above prior ATH lmfao https://t.co/VvFqmKQwJ3

Name & Symbol: Aethir Token ($ATH)
Address: 0xbe0ed4138121ecfc5c0e56b40517da27e6c5226b

Market Selloff Dynamics + Bottoming The goal of this write up is to give you a bit of insight on how I spot HTF pivot points in markets. We want to understand the psychology behind risk unwinding and use that to our advantage to potentially spot bottoms. 1. Low Conviction Sells First - When uncertainty hits, sellers dump what they least desire i.e., lower conviction coins will top first and bleed early. - Think about it logically. If you're in a pinch and needed cash irl, you're not going to sell your prized possessions, you're gunna sell the crap you never use. - Likewise, traders will sell what they’re least emotionally invested in to build cash when uncertain or want to decrease risk. - It’s not a coincidence that this has happened every HTF top this cycle. Alts don't rally after, they rally during. They also top weeks before BTC even shows an ounce of weakness. - It’s an early warning. Smart traders de-risk before the crowd even knows what's happening. 2. Risk vs. Quality - Let's go back to the earlier metaphor. People will hold onto their quality prized possessions for as long as they possibly can. It's not until they're desperate that they will part with them. - The most desirable coins, more often than not, will attempt to hold their gains for as long as possible. This is why BTC always looks fine and you see dozens of "Why is everyone panicking, BTC looks great" tweets weeks before sell offs. In selloffs: a) Junk sells early b) Quality sells late c) Everything sells eventually Watch the order of events. It’s a map of stress flow. 3. Reflexivity Kicks In - Early weakness causes more weakness. - Once a whale starts to unload into exhausted demand they begin to induce weakness. Classic signs of distribution, absorption, exhaustion, trend loss etc. - A character shift in a risk asset will make the first order of experienced traders reassess. - "I didn't sell top, but the character of the trend has shifted. Time to reduce exposure/close" - “If this is nuking, what else am I exposed to?” Suddenly: Rebalancing triggers more selling This is reflexivity. A feedback loop of diminishing risk appetite. 4. Volatility: The Dance Before many big selloffs in BTC, markets go quiet. Volatility drops. Trends become ranges. Complacency peaks. Then, boom. Let's talk a bit about balance and imbalance. - Balance is achieved once the market begins to agree on what's expensive and what's cheap. It's a dance. Equilibrium. - Equilibrium is calm. What's known is known. Speculation diminishes. Volatility compresses. - The dance continues until one party gets bored, tired or wants to go to the bar to get another drink. i.e. buyers or sellers get exhausted; changes to supply/demand. - Equilibrium is damaged- and once it breaks: Imbalance. - Price displaces violently. Value becomes unclear; volatility explodes. The market craves balance and will actively seek it. - Price often returns to areas where recent balance was formed- hvn, orderblock, composite value etc. - This is where you get the sharpest bounces. "First test, best test" - Subsequent tests will provide diminishing reactions. Things become structural. Price accepts its new home. Volatility compresses. Balance is found once again. 5. The Flow of a Selloff & Spotting Bottoms Capitulation isn’t the beginning of the end; it’s the end of the middle. a) Alts vs. Bitcoin - This cycle alts often do the bulk of their selling before BTC capitulates. - Recent example: Fartcoin sold off 88% from its top before the late February BTC capitulation. Since this is true, we can begin to use it as an edge when looking for exhaustion (bottoming) - The strongest alts will begin to show relative strength (exhaustion) earlier as BTC is still being hyper-volatile and looking for new balance. - In order words, look for good alts to begin to achieve balance as BTC is in the later stages of imbalance. As participants, our goal is to spot these divergences: “Has momentum shifted?” “Is volatility compressing?” "Is the velocity of selling diminishing?" “Is it holding while BTC makes new lows?” Signs of bottoming in Q2: - Momentum loss (Fartcoin) - SFP/Deviation (Hype/Sui) - Higher lows vs BTC’s lower lows (Pepe) In short: alts front-load their pain, then decrease in velocity as BTC bottoms. Remember this how we spot "good" alts. The weak stay weak. The strong start whispering before the market speaks. b) Bitcoin vs. SPX Now a little exercise for you all Combine all the concepts in this thread and maybe the following begins to make sense: Summer '23: BTC topped before SPX, bottomed earlier Summer '24: BTC topped before SPX, absorbed the macro related SPX crash at range low So far in '25: BTC topped before SPX, absorbed a 20% SPX crash at range low TL;DR Bottoms are a process, not a moment. Alts First Bitcoin Next SPX Last Watch for the structure, not just the sentiment.

Name & Symbol: Fartcoin ($Fartcoin)
Address: 9BB6NFEcjBCtnNLFko2FqVQBq8HHM13kCyYcdQbgpump

$PUMP - Looking for us to bottom out here at pmvwap + H4 200ema confluence https://t.co/TOgZt7QBYM

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

Fartcoin's revenge Loading.... https://t.co/JTKl7r4kxB

Name & Symbol: Fartcoin ($Fartcoin)
Address: 9BB6NFEcjBCtnNLFko2FqVQBq8HHM13kCyYcdQbgpump

Fartcoin's revenge Loading.... https://t.co/JTKl7r4kxB

Name & Symbol: Fartcoin ($Fartcoin)
Address: 9BB6NFEcjBCtnNLFko2FqVQBq8HHM13kCyYcdQbgpump

$ONDO - When 1.08 is broken I'm expecting a move to 1.64 ✍️ https://t.co/2ZlRTWVbXV

Name & Symbol: Ondo ($ONDO)
Address: 0xfaba6f8e4a5e8ab82f62fe7c39859fa577269be3

Doc Crushes XPL Weekend https://t.co/NkCvRHRotN

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

No shot everyone full ported XPL and is missing upside on the rest of the market atm, right right?

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

Back trading alts for only a week now after being BTC only for like 8 months Already ripped PUMP for 50%, caught ENA bottom, XPL for multiple 20-30% rips, Trillions 4x and we're gunna send a Fartcoin bag to $2. We're blessed to trade this market.

Name & Symbol: Fartcoin ($Fartcoin)
Address: 9BB6NFEcjBCtnNLFko2FqVQBq8HHM13kCyYcdQbgpump

Back trading alts for only a week now after being BTC only for like 8 months Already ripped PUMP for 50%, caught ENA bottom, XPL for multiple 20-30% rips, Trillions 4x and we're gunna send a Fartcoin bag to $2. We're blessed to trade this market.

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

XPL momo loss/time based capitulation now? By time I mean like, maybe a week, ain't nobody got patience around here

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

$PUMP - Broke H4 Trend Popped +50% ✍️ https://t.co/JNQAOWtrEV

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

$PUMP - Superb coin. MVAH next potential resistance. https://t.co/D86rDije3n

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

$PUMP - Gud coin. MVWAP main resistance. https://t.co/zhzYfvsUVX

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

LIVE NOW - BTC Plans - Is the CME gap important? - 107k sweep or nah? - XPL, PUMP etc. https://t.co/E7OgamdIiR

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

LIVE NOW - BTC Plans - Is the CME gap important? - 107k sweep or nah? - XPL, PUMP etc. https://t.co/E7OgamdIiR

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

Buy spot XPL and it goes up a lot Perp long the pull back and it goes up a lot Bridge to ape plasma memecoin and it goes up a lot Great tech, highly recommend

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

$PUMP - Break H4 trend and should pop hard https://t.co/zzsp9fg180

Name & Symbol: Pump.fun ($PUMP)
Address: pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn

Working my balls off day trading BTC and Doc sends me his XPL pnl I quit BTC

Name & Symbol: Plasma ($XPL)
Address: 0x405fbc9004d857903bfd6b3357792d71a50726b0

> It's gunna go so much lower and everyone is gunna get rekt and I'm gunna fill all my bags and then we're gunna send and everyone is gunna be sidelined except for me https://t.co/qHkG4Bhm4N

Name & Symbol: Rekt ($REKT)
Address: 0x20482b0b4d9d8f60d3ab432b92f4c4b901a0d10c